Mike Wesemann
Roundtable
Report
The sumo
year is off to a great start thanks to a Yokozuna fulfilling his responsibility
and dominating in the ring. And as much as I like to see a dark horse take the
yusho, anytime a Yokozuna wins it all, I can only say 'this is how it should
be.' Asashoryu was so good this basho, his bouts lasted an average of 5.7
seconds and that includes a 27 second bout with runner-up Kotomitsuki on day 10.
The events surrounding that bout epitomize the mindset and killer instinct of
Asashoryu. Throughout that day 10 broadcast, NHK frequently showed clips of
Kotomitsuki practicing his suri-ashi at the morning's keiko...Kotomitsuki being
interviewed...past bouts where Kotomitsuki had toppled Asashoryu and on and on.
As most of you know, there are television monitors placed throughout the back
halls and shitaku-beya (dressing rooms) of the Kokugikan and the other areanas
where hon-basho take place that broadcast NHK's feed. Throughout the broadcast,
I'm convinced that Asashoryu took careful note of all the run Kotomitsuki was
given and determined that he would send a statement in the one environment where
he has complete control: the ring. That statement came in the form of the
Yokozuna hoisting the 157-kilo Kotomitsuki waist high in the air and bouncing
him off of the clay in what is turning out to be a signature tsuirotoshi move
for him. Gone was the Kotomitsuki hype along with Tochiazuma's run at Yokozuna,
and all that was left was a Yokozuna standing in the ring undefeated. Damnation,
this guy is good!
Asashoryu was never in trouble over the fifteen days.
His biggest challenge came from Chiyotaikai, who was the only Ozeki to put up a
fight against the Yokozuna. Nevertheless, Asashoryu beat the Ozeki at his own
game and had an expression on his face after he pushed Chiyo out to clinch the
yusho similar to that unforgettable display of emotion exhibited by former
Yokozuna Takanohana just after he clinched the final yusho of his career bad
knee and all by toppling Musashimaru. I noticed one other similarity to
Takanohana that we haven't associated with Asashoryu until now, and that's his
demeanor directly following a victory. Is it just me or is Asashoryu taking his
opponents by the arm and helping them back into the ring a la Takanohana after
he beats them? I think it is a conscious effort on the Yokozuna's part to
improve his image after it's taken such a beating the last year. Nothing has
quieted the pre-basho criticism that surrounded Asashoryu quite like his perfect
performance in January. Now that doesn't excuse what he did prior to the basho,
but it does let cooler heads prevail when talk of "let's force him into
retirement" arises.
I got a kick out of a recent Japanese headline that
read "Asashoryu wins 16 in a row!" The article was referring to the Yokozuna
Deliberation Council's having announced that no disciplinary action would be
taken against Asashoryu--apparently his performance won them over as well. Is
there a more useless body than the YDC? When a rikishi is up for promotion to
Yokozuna, as Tochiazuma was this basho, everyone hangs on the words of the Sumo
Association's Director in regards to number of wins necessary, not the YDC. The
YDC, which is made up of prominent people from all walks of life that have
nothing to do with sumo, is just a puppet group that couldn't enforce anything
without the complete backing of the Sumo Association's board of directors.
Whenever you hear a YDC member speak out, just let it go in one ear and out the
other. The only thing I enjoy about the YDC is watching them all crammed into a
tiny section to watch the day 1 bouts; I have never seen a bigger bunch of
misfits. You have really old guys with long hair, and that token lady who looks
like Yoda in a bad brunette wig. And what business do they have commenting on
sumo and making so-called "expert" judgment and analysis without ever having
stepped onto the dohyo themselves? (Oops, strike that
last
sentence.)
Back to Asashoryu, the only thing that remains for him to do
is yusho as a Yokozuna outside of Tokyo. The sky's the limit for this 23 year
old. He has no weaknesses in the ring and more importantly none between the
ears, and his behavior outside of the ring will improve as he matures in age. As
for a breakdown of Asashoryu's sumo this basho, he controlled the pace of every
bout with superb tachi-ais. Like a baseball pitcher who throws incredible junk,
the Yokozuna mixed up his tachi-ai well to put him in the perfect position to
dismantle each of his opponents in seconds. He will give you the tsuppari to
your throat, he'll hold back and let you charge right into a morozashi trap, and
over the final days against Kaio and Tochiazuma, he displayed a quick hit and
inashi that put him to the side of his opponents before they knew what hit him.
I'll be shocked if Asashoryu doesn't finally pick up a yusho this year outside
of Tokyo. However, up next is Osaka where anything can and does
happen.
The next biggest story regarding this basho was Ozeki
Tochiazuma's run at the Yokozuna rank. His 9-6 record tells you all you need to
know. This was the same Tochiazuma we've seen for the last two years save the
last few days of the Aki basho last year and the 15 days in Kyushu. I think that
Tochiazuma has the potential to become a Yokozuna, but he needs to work on the
aspect that so many rikishi lack: his mental toughness. In Kenji's comments
during the basho, he described Tochiazuma's sumo as "reactive." It was the
perfect explanation and the reason for an ugly three bout losing streak
mid-basho that completely took the life out of him. For the most part, his
tachi-ai was mediocre, and he waited for his opponents to dictate the pace of
the bout. For someone who had trained so hard physically for the last few
months, it sure looked as if he lacked stamina in the ring as well. We'll just
have to wait for him to rise up again in the next year or two and come out of
nowhere to yusho.
Ozeki Chiyotaikai was his typical self this basho: race
out to a great start, lose one bout during the first week that you should have
won, and totally stink it up over the last few days to finish 10-5. His 1-4
record over the last five days was well below average, but we've seen it all
before. The biggest disappointment was his resorting to the hiki-waza for two
days in a row in the first week. He got away with it against Hokutoriki on day 4
but paid the price against Tosanoumi the next day. I was disappointed because we
hadn't seen that from him for several basho; I guess old habits are hard to
break. There's not much more to say although Chiyotaikai is the Haru basho's
defending champion. We'll see if he can defend his title.
Like his fellow
Ozeki, Kaio was par for the course. Absolutely no surprises here other than the
fact that he finally beat Tochinonada. Kaio looked unbeatable on some days and
then overmatched on others. I did notice more and more tape on his body as the
basho progressed, which is a sign that Kaio is getting up there in age.
Remember, he entered sumo in that famed class that included Takanohana,
Wakanohana, and Akebono. Maybe he has one more yusho in him, but the clock is
running out. So Kaio goes 10-5 with a three-bout losing streak of his own, what
's new?
Ozeki Musoyama looked fantastic over the first three days, and he
was robbed of a win on day four against M1 Toki. I don't know if that loss
affected him between the ears, but he suffered a terrible loss against M2
Hokutoriki on day 5. Musoyama pulled out of the basho after twisting his knee in
yet another loss against Sekiwake Tamanoshima on day 8 leaving him with a 5-10
mark. The injury didn't seem too serious, and Musoyama should be back in March
to eek out another kachi-koshi thus keeping him at the Ozeki rank. All four
Ozeki seem to be stuck in the same mold basho after basho. Kaio, Chiyotaikai,
and Tochiazuma are a step ahead of Musoyama, but no one seems to be making any
continual progress.
Keeping in fine tradition with the Sekiwake rank the
past few basho, Tosanoumi and Tamanoshima were horrible combining for a 9-21
mark between them. Four wins for Tosanoumi with one of them by default? I'd love
for someone to explain to me how he can consistently go 10-5 ranked as a
Maegashira fighting the exact same rikishi he goes 3..er..uh..4-11 against as a
Sekiwake. He did have a good win against Chiyotaikai, but that was it. And the
same goes for Tamanoshima. A good win over Musoyama and a decent win over
Kyokutenho, but nothing else that stands out. Well, back down to the
upper-Maegashira for these two where a kachi-koshi is all but
guaranteed.
Ditto for Komusubi Tochinonada who finished with a slightly
more respectable record at 6-9. One win over an Ozeki, but flat for the most
part. His counterpart, Wakanosato, didn't exactly bull his way to his 9-6
record, but he was good enough to regain his Sekiwake slot for March. Wakanosato
was the ultimate barometer this basho pounding Tochiazuma on day one to
foreshadow the Ozeki's fate and getting destroyed by Asashoryu on day 4 as part
of the Yokozuna's magnificent run. The only bad loss Wakanosato suffered was
against an injured Takamisakari, but as good as his 9-6 record may be, there
will be no talk of an Ozeki run.
That honor goes to M4 Kotomitsuki who
put together an excellent basho going 13-2 including solid wins over
Chiyotaikai, Tochiazuma, and Wakanosato. Kotomituski is a lock to join
Wakanosato in the Sekiwake ranks come March, a position that I think he
deserves. It was exactly one year ago when Kotomituski was fighting as a
Sekiwake before elbow problems nearly dropped him out of the division. He has
come back with a roar, however, and has as much upside in the talk of a future
Ozeki as anyone. Don't pencil him in too soon, however, as fighting lower-ranked
rikishi through the first nine days (I'm including M2 Kyokushuzan in that group)
is much different from fighting in the jo'i. Nevertheless, the potential has
always been there, and this guy has as good of shot to yusho when Asashoryu has
an off basho as anyone; he's done it once before. I'm cautiously optimistic
regarding his potential in March.
Nipping at Kotomitsuki's heels all
basho was M5 Kakizoe who finished at 11-4 and was awarded the Ginosho (Technical
Merit Prize). Talk about lightening in a bottle. His only losses came at the
hands of Asashoryu, Wakanosato, Kotomitsuki, and a pull down effort from
Aminishiki. Not too shabby. He's as worthy as anyone to take over one of the
vacant Komusubi slots for March, and he's someone whom I think can actually
stick there. He's not huge, but he combines terrific speed (second only to
Asashoryu) and powerful tsuppari to overwhelm his opponents. Keep your eye on
him.
Jumping back up the ranks, M1 Toki was rotten-egg awful. 1-14 ? And
that one win was a gift from the judges. Toki did sit out a few days to recover
from a minor injury, but this guy had no life whatsoever. Never fear, Toki fans,
he'll drop down into the double-digit Maegashira ranks and thrash the scrubs
down there. He'll be back sometime around May. Toki's one-dimensional style,
however, may have run its course amongst the big boys. Toki's fellow M1
Hokutoriki had a decent basho at 5-10 considering his rank, but then I look at
his two cheap pull down wins and feel like saying "get the hell back down to the
mid-Maegashira ranks where you belong." Hokutoriki just doesn't have enough
power or technique to cause a stir among the jo'i.
M2 Iwakiyama posted
his second straight 6-9 record fighting among the big boys (last basho he was
ranked as Komusubi). He should fall enough in the ranks to have a good shot at
another kachi-koshi come March. Just look at Kotomitsuki's opponents through the
first nine days (one M2 and everyone else ranked lower than M4) compared to
Iwakiyama's (1 Yokozuna, 4 Ozeki, 1 Komusubi) and you can see how big of a
difference an M2 rank and and M4 rank are. Fellow M2 Kyokushuzan PULLED out
eight wins yet again. Will he make it to Komusubi for March? He certainly
doesn't deserve it, but unless the Association wants to jump Kyokutenho and
Kakizoe ahead of him, he'll be there for the first time since 1995 I think. Only
one of his eight wins was by a forward-moving technique, and since I have no
memory of that epic bout with Jumonji on day 14, I won't comment any
further.
M3 Takamisakari suffered yet another make-koshi going just 4-11.
He had a small brace just below his right knee, and he was limping after
seemingly every bout, but that could be the Dejima syndrome: bounce up the
hanamichi after a win one day then limp back to the dressing room the next after
a loss as if you needed knee replacement surgery. My take is that Takamisakari's
knee was bothering him. We're used to seeing the Robocop use that leg to brace
himself at the tawara before swinging his opponents out of the ring with crafty
counter moves. That just wasn't there this basho, which tells me that he was
hurting. Remember, this guy used to heavily wrap his left leg up until a few
basho ago. Takamisakari falling down the ranks is the last thing the Association
needs now regarding the sport's popularity, especially with the eminent rise of
some new foreign rikishi. Fellow M3 Kyokutenho eeked out his kachi-koshi by
going 4-0 over the last four days. The upside for the Mongolian this basho is
that he dominated Tochiazuma for a good win and gave Asashoryu as much trouble
as anyone.
M4 Tokitsuumi goes 7-8, which is no surprise. He just not
quite good enough to stick with the jo'i. M5 Kasuganishiki is in the same boat
although his body and youth may propel him to the sanyaku someday. M6 Dejima
went 10-5, which may propel him into the Komusubi ranks for March. Is Dejima
back? Not if he continues to lose to the likes of Kasuganishiki, Tochisakae, and
Kaiho. Like Kaio, Dejima brings the goods but a few head-scratching losses early
always seem to keep him just out of the spotlight. Counterpart M6 Takekaze had a
forgettable basho going just 4-11. He was simply overmatched this high up in the
ranks. Only one of his four wins was against someone who obtained a kachi-koshi,
and that was Kyokushuzan. I think this pint-sized rikishi is going to follow a
similar career path to that of Kaiho.
Our two M7s produced excellent
records both ending the tournament at 11-4. Shimotori, who has been ranked as
high as M1 I believe, beat everyone who he was supposed to and lost three of his
four bouts to Kotomitsuki, Kakizoe, and Buyuzan. Shimotori will find himself
near the top of the Maegashira ranks again for March, but I think it's territory
that he can handle. He's a few centimeters taller than the average rikishi and
his sumo is well rounded enough that I think he can be a M1-M4 mainstay. Don't
let him get your belt or you're in trouble. His counterpart, Miyabiyama, got off
to a lousy 1-3 start but went 10-1 the rest of the way. That sounds nice, but
let's see the former Ozeki do it next basho as well when he fights the heavy
hitters. Miyabi's best win in my opinion was against Kokkai.
M10 Kokkai
appears to be the real deal. Yes, he only posted an 8-7 record, but Kenji hit
the nail on the head when he said "Kokkai won all the bouts that he lost." Ok,
he was beat straight up a few times by Miyabiyama and Dejima, but look at his
last three bouts of which he lost all: Kakizoe (11-4) who I thought was awarded
the win due to poor refereeing and lazy judges. Kokkai blew Kakizoe off the line
and completely controlled the bout. Kotomitsuki (13-2) had his hands full as
Kokkai dictated the pace and had Kotomitsuki driven to ring's edge, but what
liked look some disorientation by the Georgian in the ring cost him the loss as
he failed to finish Kotomitsuki off that last step. The exact same could be said
for his bout with Shimotori (11-4). Kokkai controlled the bout the entire way,
but seemed to lose track of where he was in the ring allowing the more
experienced Shimotori to steal the win. Kokkai's last three opponents' had a
combined 35 wins among them, yet the rookie dominated all of them. He did lose
the bouts, but wait until he gains a little bit more experience. The simple fact
that the Sumo Association paired Kokkai with these last three opponents over the
last three days tells you all you need to know. If I had to put my money on who
the next Yokozuna will be, I'd put it on either Kokkai or Koto-oshu, who you'll
definitely hear more about a few basho down the road.
Since there are
just too many Maegashira to comment on everyone, honorable mention goes to M8
Aminishiki who at 9-6 could have done even better if he hadn't lost to Asanowaka
and Ushiomaru down the stretch (ouch); M8 Jumonji and M9 Kinkaiyama, who are
finally able to keep themselves in the division; M10 Takanonami who finally got
a kachi-koshi at 8-7 after a year's wait; M11 Tochisakae at 9-6 who finally
regained the form he briefly showed when first fighting in the division several
years ago; and M14 Buyuzan who at 10-5 seems to have one of these basho twice a
year. Sorry M16 Asanowaka, your 10-5 record means nothing to
me.
Underachievers were M12 Asasekiryu at 7-8 and M13 Takanowaka at 4-11.
Thanks to a generous number of ranks on the banzuke, Asasekiryu will be around
for awhile, but it looks as if the former Sekiwake, Takanowaka, will have to
pride himself on beating up the Juryo rikishi.
Looking ahead to Osaka, I
would have to say that Asashoryu is the favorite; however, the Haru basho is
always the wackiest of the year. It should be fun. Until then, we will continue
to update our news page as new sumo headlines come down the pipe. Thanks for
everyone's support and congratulations to Sashimaru of Germany for winning the
Fantasy Sumo tournament. We have t-shirts designed that we will award to all
previous and future winners (when we actually get them printed up is a
completely different story). Until then...
Day 13
Comments
This
basho is winding down in a hurry, and everything from this point is basically
mop up work. A few of the Maegashira scrubs are still grappling for that coveted
eight-win mark, and those who are already there are still fighting for a sansho
(special prize); but, the magic number for Asashoryu's yusho is down to one,
which means that either an Asashoryu win or a Kotomitsuki loss over the last two
days will solidify what we've known for the last few days: Asashoryu is
king.
Asashoryu took a giant leap forward today in his quest for his
first 15-0 yusho by defeating Ozeki Kaio in a rather anti-climactic bout. Kaio
didn't appear to come as hard today as he had over the last few days at the
tachi-ai, and this cost him. Asashoryu led with the right shoulder and quickly
wrapped his right arm around Kaio's left arm in the arm bar hold. He then locked
his right leg around the Ozeki's left leg basically paralyzing Kaio's movements.
This allowed Asashoryu to put himself in the man love position where he has both
arms wrapped around Kaio's waist from behind. I thought it was very classy of
Asashoryu to gently walk the Ozeki out of the ring at this point because he
could have easily sent him into the third row. One thing you don't want to do is
get on the Yokozuna's bad side. Another solid win for Asashoryu, which puts him
at 13-0 and more importantly, chalks Kaio off the list of his remaining foes.
Asashoryu, who won with speed and technique today, has yet to be in any danger
whatsoever over his first 13 bouts. He'll face Chiyotaikai tomorrow and
Tochiazuma on senshuraku. Kaio falls to 9-4.
Asashoryu could have wrapped
up the yusho entirely today if Komusubi Wakanosato could have beaten M4
Kotomitsuki, but it was not to be as the former champion pushed Wakanosato out
with little trouble in a strange bout. Both rikishi seemed to bounce off of each
other at the tachi-ai, which left them standing about a meter apart. Rather than
crashing back into each other, they both put their hands up in the on-guard pose
waiting for the other to make a move. They finally slowly touched their heads
together to put each on an even keel, but Kotomitsuki pressed the action first
and easily pushed his opponent out of the ring. Another good win for
Kotomitsuki, who now stands at 11-2. Wakanosato falls to 7-6 after two bad
performances in a row. Up next for Kotomitsuki on day 14 is the Makuuchi
newcomer M10 Kokkai. That says something for the rookie when the Association
chooses him to face Kotomitsuki with the yusho still on the line.
It's
too bad Kokkai didn't get as much respect from the judges today in his bout with
M5 Kakizoe. I know this was a rather meaningless bout, but what occurred was
something that I have to comment on. Kokkai came out with a wicked right nodowa
from the tachi-ai and immediately drove Kakizoe back. Kakizoe, in a last ditch
effort, attempted a pull down, which threw Kokkai's balance off enough that he
put his hand down to the dirt to brace his fall but not before Kakizoe had
stepped out of the ring. The referee pointed his gunbai towards Kakizoe and was
received with such a surprised reaction from the M5 that the Kokugikan crowd
started laughing. Kakizoe next looked at the yobi-dashi in his corner confirming
that it was really true. Kokkai, of course, was glaring at anyone he could
because it was clear that at least a mono-ii should have been called, but nary a
hand up from any of the judges. Replays showed that Kakizoe's foot stepping out
and Kokkai's hand touching the dirt where simultaneous (at least as far as I
could tell), and it's just plain ridiculous that a mono-ii (judges conference)
wasn't called. Kakizoe asked the yobi-dashi several more times if he really did
win while he was waiting to give the chikara-mizu to the next
combatant.
The problem I have here is this is not the only time this has
occurred during the basho. Luckily, such a call hasn't affected the outcome of
the yusho, but it arguably affected the recipient of the Kantosho. Is it too
much to ask the judges to get off of their lazy asses for a minute to
confirm a close call? Furthermore, wouldn't it make more sense to allow a 70
year old man with the title of "referee" to wear a pair of glasses in the ring?
I know it would clash with his traditional shinto garb, but it would probably
improve his judgment. My favorite is when the referee obviously has no clue who
won a bout, so after a few indecisive jerks of the gunbai, he finally makes his
decision.
As long as I'm on the topic, I might as well bring up the fact
that the referee blew the call today in the Chiyotaikai-Tochiazuma bout. The
judges had no choice here but to call a conference and review the action; I'd
like to see the same dedication regarding all bouts involving sekitori.
Tochiazuma brought a fire to his bout today that we've rarely seen this basho.
He neutralized Chiyo's tachi-ai and actually drove his fellow Ozeki back with
some sharp thrusts of his own. However, in a last ditch effort, Chiyotaikai
evaded with his foot on the tawara and was successful in pulling Tochiazuma down
to the dirt before he stepped out of the ring himself. Though the kimarite was
hataki-komi, I thought Chiyotaikai displayed some pretty good technique in the
win. He stuck to his guns the whole bout until backed up to the brink of defeat.
I have absolutely no problem with a rikishi winning via pull-down as long as he
doesn't set it up with a tachi-ai henka or an obvious back pedal seconds after
the initial charge. Chiyotaikai at 10-3 looks to be the dominant Ozeki this
basho while Tochiazuma (8-5) is damn lucky he's got his eight wins because the
going isn't getting any easier with Kaio and Asashoryu over the last two
days.
In other sanyaku bouts, Sekiwake Tosanoumi (3-10) deserved to lose
after a horrible tachi-ai henka that failed to finish off M2 Iwakiyama.
Iwakiyama recovered nicely forcing the bout to the belt where he easily forced
Tosanoumi out. M2 Kyokushuzan "won" today by what else: jumping completely out
of the way at the tachi-ai and pulling your opponent down by the shoulder.
Sekiwake Tamanoshima took the bait hook line and sinker and thus falls to 4-9.
Komusubi Tochinonada (5-8) made his make-koshi official today by pressing too
fast against his opponent without a firm grip on his belt or having him under
control with tsuppari. M4 Tokitsuumi (5-8) dodged Nada at the edge and easily
pulled him down.
No Maegashira rikishi secured kachi-koshi today, but it
should be noted that M7 Shimotori picked up his tenth win today. Talk about
flying completely under the radar. The key bouts tomorrow are Asashoryu vs.
Chiyotaikai where Chiyotaikai has five seconds to beat his opponent or he loses;
Kotomitsuki vs. Kokkai, which will be decided on whether or not Kotomitsuki can
grab Kokkai's belt; and Kaio vs. Tochiazuma in a battle of who's the second best
Ozeki this basho.
Day 11
Comments
If you
listen carefully, you can already hear it. It's the fat lady singing because
this basho is over. The only two issues that remain are will Asashoryu run the
table for the first 15-0 yusho since Takanohana's in 1996, and who will win the
Fantasy Sumo tournament? I guess as a secondary storyline we could also ask will
Ozeki Tochiazuma finally secure that coveted Yokozuna..er..uh kachi-koshi that
has eluded him for three straight days now.
There's only one place to
start and that's the top where Yokozuna Asashoryu is having the best basho of
his career so far. He still has four days to go and a well-conditioned Kaio
stands in his way, but I've never seen the Yokozuna perform with more confidence
and such dominance in the ring. The yusho is a given at this point; now it's
just a matter of whether or not he'll run the table. Today the Yokozuna easily
handled up-and-coming M5 Kakizoe who was still in the yusho race coming into the
day. Asashoryu welcomed Kakizoe to the jo'i with a couple of sharp thrusts to
the throat before getting on his inside and forcing him out by the belt. The
Yokozuna made Kakizoe (8-3) look slow and lost, and Kakizoe has some of the best
quicks in the division. I can't say enough about the Yokozuna's performance this
basho, but in deference to those who don't like Asashoryu (99% of Japan), I'll
move on.
M4 Kotomitsuki officially put a fork into Ozeki Tochiazuma today
and his quest for the yoko-zuna. Today's performance by Tochiazuma (7-4) was a
carbon copy of yesterday's: half-hearted tachiai, passive sumo, give up the
uwate, and wait for your opponent to make his move. We don't need to see a
candidate for Yokozuna pick himself up out of the first row of spectators two
days in a row at the hands of two Maegashira rikishi. I know this is kind of
harsh, but the same thing also applies to Kaio and Chiyotaikai and their
numerous failed attempts at the prestigious rank. While I'm on the subject, I
hate to break it to those who desperately want a Japanese Yokozuna, but I just
don't see a future Yokozuna among the current native Makuuchi rikishi. I would
almost bet anything that you'll see an Eastern European ranked in the top spot
before you see another Japanese rikishi there.
Getting back to today's
bout, Kotomitsuki bounced (pun intended) back nicely from his loss yesterday to
overpower Tochiazuma sending the Ozeki to his third straight loss and a 7-4
record. Kotomitsuki at 9-2 is all but guaranteed a slot in the sanyaku for
March, but I don't see him burning it up against the jo'i next March. The term
"rank-and-file" has been bandied about forever to describe the Maegashira
rikishi who climb up and down those ranks year after year, but Wakanosato aside,
I think it's also safe to dub the current sanyaku rikishi and some of the M1 -
M3 as "sanyaku rank and filers." Nobody can stick for the life of
them.
Helping to cement Asashoryu's pending yusho was Ozeki Chiyotaikai's
losing to Komusubi Tochinonada. Chiyotaikai was the last one-loss rikishi to
fall giving Asashoryu a two-bout lead over second place. I was proud of Chiyo
today in his loss--which might sound strange--but he stuck to his guns and
didn't go for the cheap pull down despite the fact that his opponent was taking
charge. Chiyo attempted a left nodowa from the tachi-ai, but Tochinonada didn't
budge and actually wiped away Chiyo's thrust with a couple of effective nodowa
of his own driving Chiyotaikai back a few steps. Chiyo, with his back up against
the edge, charged again, but Tochinonada evaded the charge and grabbed the Ozeki
in an arm bar holding using that to throw him down with the kotenage technique.
Good win for Tochinonada now at 4-7 and a good effort from Chiyotaikai who falls
to 9-2.
Ozeki Kaio improved to 9-2 today with another good tachi-ai that
resulted in a fairly easy win over Sekiwake Tamanoshima (4-7). Kaio hit his
opponent hard at the tachi-ai and grabbed another of his patented holds--a right
arm bar. He used the grip to keep Tamanoshima on the defensive before wrenching
the Sekiwake's arm and throwing him down. Tamanoshima laid on the clay for a
moment holding his left elbow, which had just taken more force from the Kaio
throw than any joint should. I have not seen any reports of Tamanoshima's
withdrawing, so it's wait and see. Kaio really looks good, and one can only
wonder how different this basho would be if Kaio wouldn't have actually followed
protocol and charged from the tachi-ai against Mr. Gimmick, Kyokushuzan.
Tomorrow is Kaio's turn to welcome Kakizoe to the big time.
Rounding out
the sanyaku, Sekiwake Tosanoumi easily forced out M3 Takamisakari to pick up
only his third win. Both rikishi stand at a measly 3-8. I'm still trying to
determine who was more terrorized by Akebono's recent antics: his wife and two
kids who were forced to sit in the Nagoya Dome and watch their dad/husband get
worked over by Atlas on New Year's Eve, or Takamisakari who has lost his mentor
and gone only 8-18 since Akebono's retirement from sumo. Komusubi Wakanosato is
just one win away from getting back his Sekiwake rank at 7-4 after easily
dispatching M2 Iwakiyama (3-8) with a scoop throw.
Securing kachi-koshi
to stand at 8-3 at day's end was M7 Shimotori, M8 Aminishiki, and (oh brother)
M16 Asanowaka. Asanowaka "defeated" M11 Yotsukasa (4-7) by--well, you know--but
I really got a kick out of Mainoumi's comments after the bout. He basically
said, "well, you know it's coming, but these rikishi just can't seem to help
charging forward against Asasnowaka." And as much as I harp on Kyokushuzan and
Asanowaka, its' true. If you're dumb enough to charge straight ahead against
these guys, I guess you deserve to lose. What ever happened to the good 'ol
Mainoumi-Tomonohana tachiai days where both guys stood straight up and egged
each other on with their hands just daring the other to make the first move.
You'd be five seconds into a bout before anyone made contact.
Day 9
Comments
Today
wasn't exactly a huge turning point for the basho itself, but it was a
red-letter day for Ozeki Tochiazuma. In his quest for promotion to Yokozuna,
Tochiazuma suffered a huge loss at the hands of M3 Takamisakari. It was a no-win
situation for the Kokukigan crowd: in one corner stood everyone's favorite
Takamisakari, and in the other stood Tochiazuma, who is shouldering the high
expectations of a nation desperate for a native Yokozuna. Tochiazuma delivered a
solid tachi-ai, which gave him the quick momentum, but as he drove the Robocop
back, he kept his head and upper-body too low allowing Takamisakari to execute a
maki-komi move where he grabs his opponent's torso and twists him around and
down. It was a vintage Sakari win where he turns the tables while retreating,
but more than that, it was a mental breakdown by Tochiazuma, and one that
probably cost him the white belt--for now anyway. Had Tochiazuma used the
strategy that was so successful in Kyushu where he uses the power from his lower
body to drive his opponents up and out, this bout wouldn't have been close. It's
a mental lapse such as this that separates the Yokozuna from the rest of the
pack. The Kokugikan crowd, which normally erupts after a Takamisakari (3-6) win,
could only politely applause today as they knew the implications of Tochiazuma's
loss.
In breaking down Tochiazuma's sumo thus far, I can't say that
today's loss surprised me. Look at his performance on day 8 against Tosanoumi. A
dodge-your-opponent's-tachi-ai followed by a cheap pull down win a la
Kyokushuzan hardly worthy of a Yokozuna. There's nothing that will take you out
of a Yokozuna mindset more than dodging an opponent who beat you last basho
instead of sticking to your bread and butter and coming out with a kick-ass
mentality. I would describe Tochiazuma's sumo thus far as good, but not great.
How many times have the announcers loudly proclaimed "tsuyoi!" (powerful) or
"choushi ii!" (top of his game) this basho after a Tochiazuma bout? Maybe once
or twice. Tochiazuma falls to 7-2 and cannot lose again if he still holds
Yokozuna hopes let alone the yusho. The future looks bleak, however, as the
Ozeki must go unscathed against two Ozeki, Asashoryu, Tamanoshima, and possibly
some firey Maegashira in Kotomitsuki and Kakizoe.
Standing firmly in
Tochiazuma's way and completely dominating this basho is Yokozuna Asashoryu who
came out with some cautious tsuppari today against M4 Tokitsuumi before getting
on the inside and easily forcing Tokitsuumi out. Asa stands at 9-0 and has yet
to be in any trouble whatsoever. It seems as if his toughest opponent this basho
so far as been the cold and fever he's fighting, but the Yokozuna's opponents
will all start getting progressively tougher starting with Kotomitsuki on day
10.
As long as we're talking about M4 Kotomitsuki, I'm not sold on the
former Sekiwake. Why? He has only faced one rikishi ranked higher than him and
that was M2 Kyokushuzan who doesn't count. Kotomitsuki has been good this basho
standing at an impressive 8-1, but if his sumo is going to be classified as
great, he's going to have to pull out some wins against the big boys. It's
expected that someone who has won it all previously should tear up the
mid-Maegashira, so I won't start getting excited until he beats his upcoming
jo'i opponents.
I am excited about M5 Kakizoe, who like Kotomitsuki is
8-1and tearing up the mid-Maegashira. The difference between Kakizoe and
Kotomitsuki is this basho is Kakizoe's second in the division. Not many rikishi
can claim a solid sophomore basho as Kakizoe can. Kakizoe began to impress me
last basho when he pulled out a kachi-koshi basically on one leg. I'd love to
see a Kakizoe-Asashoryu match up as the two rikishi have similar statures,
styles, and speed.
Tied in second place at 8-1 one loss behind Asashoryu
is Ozeki Chiyotaikai who scored a huge win over Komusubi Wakanosato today. How
ironic was it that Wakanosato easily held his own at the tachi-ai, actually had
the pace of the fight in his favor by forcing it to yotsu-zumo, and then
panicked by going for a pull down move, which the Ozeki easily responded to by
pushing Wakanosato completely off of the dohyo into Tochiazuma's lap who was
sitting ringside. Just to make sure the job was finished, Chiyotaikai did a
little stage diving himself landing on top of Wakanosato, Tochiazuma, and half
of the front row spectators. Taikai hasn't exactly been spectacular, but he
stands at an ominous 8-1 heading down the stretch.
While I'm on the
subject of Wakanosato, this basho is a perfect example of why he is the
barometer of the sanyaku. Wakanosato is great at times, but just isn't
consistent enough yet to reach Ozeki. Kenji and I have always talked about a
Barometer theory where a rikishi has to be good enough to beat Wakanosato in
order to yusho. The theory held true for five years and was finally disproved
last year (of course just two basho after launching our site), but you can see
how the theory is working this basho: Asashoryu pounded Wakanosato and stands at
9-0; Chiyotaikai stood his ground and is still in the yusho hunt at 8-1; Kaio
was overpowered by Wakanosato and at 7-2 is probably out of the race; and
Tochiazuma was soundly beaten by Wakanosato and is also probably out of it at
7-2. In short, if you're good enough to beat Wakanosato, you're good enough to
yusho.
In other notes, Ozeki Musoyama withdrew from the tournament today
citing a knee injury. The withdraw gave Kaio a free pass, and also gives
Tochiazuma a glimmer of hope as that will be one less top-notch rikishi he
doesn't have to face.
Looking ahead to day 10, the Asashoryu-Kotomitsuki
match-up is intriguing; Chiyotaikai gets his free pass against Kyokushuzan; Kaio
will have his hands full with nemesis Tochinonada; Tochiazuma must bring his
A-game to beat Kyokutenho; and Kakizoe get Aminishiki.
Day 7
Comments
Week
one is done and this basho seems to be in cruise control with the Yokozuna and
four Ozeki going 10-0 over the past two days. With Asashoryu still undefeated, I
really see this as coming down to a three horse race with the Yokozuna,
Tochiazuma, and Chiyotaikai. Kaio and Musoyama will have to settle for the role
of spoiler; I just don't see Asashoryu giving up a two bout lead at this
point.
Asashoryu continues to impress easily pushing out Sekiwake
Tamanoshima today to make it seven straight. Asa has yet to be in any kind of
trouble during his first seven bouts, and his sumo has been top notch so far.
And just as soon as I'm about to declare the possibility of his running the
table, I look at his opponent on day 8, Kyokushuzan, and am reminded that
anything can happen. Not that Kyokushuzan has any business whatsoever to be
standing in the same ring as the Yokozuna, but Asashoryu's sumo and
Kyokushuzan's dodge ball antics are two different sports. If sumo prevails
tomorrow and Asashoryu wins, I just don't see anyone derailing him from the
shihai at the end of fifteen days.
Ozeki Tochiazuma continues to do what
he needs to: defeat the Maegashira and hope for the best against fellow Ozeki
and Asashoryu. I don't see the fierceness in Tochiazuma's sumo this basho when
compared to Kyushu, but he's still winning and only one off the lead. Tochiazuma
defeated Iwakiyama on day seven using his speed to overcome his larger opponent.
Regarding his run to Yokozuna, I think it may be a question of the Yokozuna
Deliberation Council awarding him the rank with a record "worthy" of a Yokozuna.
He has to finish 13-2 regardless regardless of what Asashoryu does.
Ozeki
Chiyotaikai keeps pace as well only one loss behind the leader. With his usual
head-scratching loss to a nobody out of the way, Chiyotaikai controls his own
destiny. He steamrolled Tokitsuumi today to improve to 6-1. I still think
Chiyotaikai has a good shot to come out of nowhere and win this thing. There's
no pressure on the Ozeki.
Ozeki Kaio stands at 5-2, but is a long shot to
yusho...especially after he came up favoring his right hand in his bout with
Kyokutenho today. It looked as if Kaio sprained his right thumb today in a pull
down win over the Mongolian. Kaio has to be 100% to yusho, so with this new
injury, I don't see it happening. That doesn't mean, however, that he wont
factor into the outcome. Kaio completely dominates the three rikishi still in
the hunt.
Ozeki Musoyama looks solid. He stands at 5-2, but I think he
was robbed against Toki on day four. While I'm on the subject, I've seen a lot
of questionable calls this basho and the ringside judges doing nothing about the
majority of them. Most of them have been occurring in the Maegashira ranks, so
they've largely gone unnoticed, but I'd hate to see the yusho affected by a
no-call. Back to Musoyama: I sure wish he'd fight like this every basho, and he
will definitely not be a pushover when matched against the best of the
best.
Our two Sekiwake, Tamanoshima and Tosanoumi, are drastically
underachieving and are unworthy of their rank. Come to think of it, there's only
one guy who is worthy of Sekiwake and that is Wakanosato fighting as Komusubi
this basho. Wakanosato proved just how good he is by overpowering Tochiazuma on
day 1. Consistency and beating lower ranked opponents are the areas he needs to
focus on. Wakanosato still has a decent shot at the yusho. He stands at 5-2, but
remember, four of those seven bouts have been against Ozeki ranked rikishi or
higher.
Focusing on the Maegashira ranks, M4 Kotommitsuki is positioning
himself to jump up into the sanyaku come March. It looks as if his elbows are
pain free, and we should see him duking it out with the sanyaku in week 2. I
sincerely doubt that he can yusho this basho, but he's done it before and he's
got plenty of scrubs to pad his record with. M5 Kakizoe is another one to keep
your eye on as he also stands at 6-1. To look at this guy you wonder how in the
heck he can even win five bouts in the division, but he combines great speed
with surprising power. The sanyaku isn't out of the question for Kakizoe in
March with most rikishi ranked higher than him stinking it up.
Through
the first week, I'd say we've been treated to an average basho. The Ozeki have
looked bad at times, but I'm happy to see all of them with solid records going
into week two. It's still anybody's game, but you have to favor Yokozuna
Asashoryu. He's looked head and shoulders above the rest.
Day 5
Comments
My, how
a basho can turn in just two days. After day 3, I was as high on sumo as one
could be proudly proclaiming that the Yokozuna/Ozeki-gun was 14-1. Their
performance since? 5-5. And it could have been worse if Toki hadn't of withdrawn
and given Tochiazuma a free pass today. Yes, Tochiazuma, who moves to 4-1, is
the superior rikishi to Toki, but you never know what to expect when you face
someone who is pull-down happy.
I may as well start at the top since
Yokozuna Asashoryu is putting on a clinic this basho. I've noticed that
Asashoryu has two different tachi-ai that he uses regularly. One is where he
comes out of his stance mercilessly firing tsuppari at his opponents' throats as
he displayed yesterday against Wakanosato. The second, which he used today
against his opponent M2 Iwakiyama, is where he goes for the morozashi grip (both
hands inside of his opponent's arms) allowing himself to be driven back a step
or two in exchange for position and footing that allows him to throw his
opponent down or turn the tables on his charging opponent putting the Yokozuna
in prime position for the force out. From the tachi-ai today, Iwakiyama actually
drove the Yokozuna back a few steps, but before you had the time to think 'is
the Yokozuna in trouble?' Iwakiyama was flat on his back from a perfectly
executed scoop throw. The bout was over in two seconds, which is a testament to
the speed in which Asashoryu takes care of his business. The Yokozuna is atop
the leader board at 5-0 while Iwakiyama falls to just 1-4. I like Iwakiyama's
potential even though he's struggling with the jo'i. Once he gains more
experience this high up, he won't be burned and baited as much at the tachi-ai.
Getting back to the Yokozuna, Asashoryu now finds himself alone at the top (yes,
I know Kotomitsuki his also 5-0)--a position he has yet to give up in his
career. I won't say it's over, but with both dangerous Komusubi out of the way
and two sub-par Sekiwake, the Yokozuna is definitely in the driver's
seat.
Now that the good stuff's out of the way, let's turn to the bad:
namely Chiyotaikai's sumo. I must say, it's been quite a while since Chiyo
resorted to and was burned by the pull down, but he must have been inspired by
the Hatakikomi parade so adequately described by Kenji yesterday that he
couldn't resist. Paired against Sekiwake Tosanoumi today, Chiyotaikai met one of
the few rikishi who can match him pound for pound at the tachi-ai. The tachi-ai
was excellent with both rikishi refusing to given an inch; however, the Ozeki
quickly resorted to the pull-down, and Tosanoumi wasn't fooled. The result of
course was Chiyo being sent a few meters up the hanamichi. The look of disgust
on Chiyotaikai's face said it all not to mention the announcer screaming "hiite
shimatta!" Chiyo suffers his first loss to stand now at 4-1 while Tosanoumi
scratches his way to 2-3. The most disturbing aspect of Chiyo's
performance today was that he wasn't in trouble. Sure his forward progress
was stopped, but it wasn't exactly as if Tosanoumi was pushing the Ozeki
back. Big mental lapse that just derailed Chiyotakai's momentum.
In
a decent bout of sumo today, Komusubi Wakanosato overpowered Ozeki Kaio to hand
the Ozeki his second straight loss. As is usually the case, this was decided at
the tachi-ai where Wakanosato exerted so much force on the Ozeki that Kaio was
forced to overextend himself in an attempt to grab Wakanosato's belt. The
Komusubi took advantage of his outstretched opponent by getting his left arm in
deep under kaio's right armpit. Wakanosato used the position to lift Kaio off
balance and easily force him out of the ring. Both rikishi now stand at
3-2.
Ozeki Musoyama continued to slide after losing to M1 Hokutoriki by
what else--a cheap pull down. When all else fails and you have yet to pick up a
win, just follow Hokutoriki's example and pull your opponent down. As much as I
can't stand the cheap wins, you gotta love the interviews afterwards when a
Maegashira scrub beats an Ozeki via hataki-komi and then has to try and keep a
straight face during the post bout interview. The interviewer has to spin the
situation to somehow make it look as if the Maegashira actually defeated his
opponent with superior technique, but lost for words he goes to the staple
question: "donna kimochi desu ka?" How does it feel (to win)? The rikishi, who
is sweating not because of the hard fought bout but because he has to face a
national audience after a chicken-shit performance, always responds with "uh,
ureshii desu." (I'm thrilled).
Rounding out the sanyaku, Sekiwake
Tamanoshima picked up his first win by forcing out M3 Kyokutenho in a good
yotsu-zumo struggle. Hopefully, Tamanoshima learned his lesson about moving
forward in your sumo and not backwards. Tama is 1-4 while Kyokutenho drops to
2-3. And lest we forget, Komusubi Tochinonada was defeated by M2 Kyokushuzan in
a brilliant display of the aforementioned chicken-shit sumo. I guess since
Kyokushuzan jumped to his left yesterday against Kaio, it was time to jump to
his right today. Tochinonada gave a decent effort, but what can you do?
Tochinonada falls to 2-3 while Kyokushuzan moves to 4-1. With all the uproar
over countryman Asashoryu's behavior before the basho, Kyokushuzan's act during
the basho is downright despicable, reprehensible, and punk-assed. How does this
guy live with himself?
Deserving praise in the Maegashira ranks is M4
Kotomitsuki who has jumped out to an excellent 5-0 start with a defeat of M9
Kinkaiyama (1-4). Kotomitsuki has yet to face a rikishi ranked higher than him,
so the jury is still out, but hey, so far, so good. M5 Kakizoe continues to
impress picking up his fourth straight win against the no-slouch M7 Shimotori
(3-2). M10 Takanonami is 4-1 despite a loss today at the hands of his nemesis
M13 Takanowaka (3-2). M12 Asasekiryu is rolling at 4-1 after defeating M17
Hayateumi (2-3). And in the most gratifying bout of the day, M10 Kokkai moves to
4-1 after literally knocking M16 Asanowaka (3-2) on his ass in one fell swoop
with that giant wingspan of his. Asanowaka of course went for the pull down and
was rewarded with a trip through the air landing his butt right were the
yobidashi place that bowl of salt in the corner. The Sumo Kyokai needs to do us
a favor and pair Kokkai up with Kyokushuzan and Hokutoriki before this thing is
over.
Day 3
Comments
How
nice is it to see the Yokozuna/Ozeki-gun with a combined 14-1 record after three
days? We have been treated to rock solid sumo over the first three days, and
this, if anything, is what will raise sumo's popularity again among the masses.
I'll give Musoyama a little love today and start with him first as I think he
had the biggest win of the day. The Ozeki was paired against Komusubi Wakanosato
in a match up that promised to be a stellar yotsu-zumo bout. Musoyama forced the
action from the tachi-ai with the deepest left inner grip you'll ever see. This
stood Wakanosato up a bit and gave the Ozeki the momentum. Wakanosato was able
to wrangle a right outer grip, but Musoyama was too strong for the Komusubi to
mount a formidable attack. This was power against power with the Ozeki capturing
the victory making it look easy. We hardly ever get to talk about Musoyama's
yotsu-zumo ability because he rarely shows it, but it's the style and prowess he
showed today that makes him my "favorite rikishi." Musoyama finds him self in a
rare position at 3-0 while Wakanosato drops to 2-1. This was a very impressive
win for Musoyama considering what Wakanosato did to Tochiazuma on day
one.
Speaking of Tochiazuma, he did win today against M2 Kyokushuzan, but
it was another curious performance reminiscent of his sumo on day one. Tochi
pushed Shu back and grabbed a firm right outer grip from the tachi-ai, and just
when you expected him to bulldoze his opponent out of the ring, he paused
allowing Kyokushuzan to catch his breath leaving both rikishi in the
hidari-yotsu position. Tochiazuma did force Kyokushuzan out after a few seconds,
but he seemed very cautious in his approach. Coming out cautiously against
Kyokushuzan at the tachi-ai is very understandable because you know the only
direction Shu isn't going to come is straight forward, but once you have Shu a
step away from the tawara and a fierce uwate grip, you need to finish him off
quick and with authority. Good win today I guess, but bad strategy. Tochiazuma
stands at 2-1, but his sumo hasn't been nearly as aggressive as it was in
Kyushu. The jury's still out, but with all of the other Ozeki and Yokozuna
seemingly in top form, Tochiazuma has got his work cut out for him. Kyokushuzan
falls to 2-1.
Ozeki Chiyotaikai looked good as he blasted M3 Takamisakari
out of the ring in seconds. Chiyo pushed the Robocop back from the get go and
for a second it looked as if Takamisakari would grab one of Chiyotaikai's arms
and use it to twist his opponent out as he did against Tamanoshima on day one,
but Chiyo's strength and quick tsuppari proved to be too much for the smaller
Sakari. It's vintage Chiyotaikai so far, but that also means there may be a
head-scratching loss in the near future. Chiyo holds steady at 3-0 while Sakari
falls to a respectable 1-2 considering his first three opponents.
Ozeki
Kaio kept pace among the leaders at 3-0 after easily grabbing his coveted right
outer grip against M2 Iwakiyama. He used the hold to steadily drive Iwakiyama
back and out of the ring with little trouble. This was a classic case of Kaio
using his experience to gain the upper-hand from the tachi-ai on a relative
newcomer. Kaio also keeps pace with the leaders at 3-0 while Iwakiyama continues
to struggle against the jo'i; he falls to 0-3. Things look bright for Kaio's
future as he faces Kyokushuzan on day 4. The first real test for Kaio should
come when he faces Tochinonada, someone he has been dominated by lately. If he
can beat him (the day of their bout is not set yet) then Kaio is in the driver's
seat.
And lest I forget, Yokozuna Asashoryu was as good as ever today
against M1 Hokutoriki. Sho gave up the uwate to Hokutoriki from the get-go, but
it didn't matter; he secured a cat-quick morozashi grip and had Hokutoriki spun
around and forced out seemingly before the referee could finish his first
Hakke-yoi. I was sure down on Asashoryu prior to the basho for his poor attitude
and aloofness, but there's no denying that his performance inside of the ring is
impeccable so far. Asashoryu stays perfect at 3-0 while Hokutoriki is obviously
over-matched this high up on the banzuke.
As for the sanyaku ranks,
Sekiwake Tosanoumi picked up his first win of the tournament over M1 Toki. I
focused on Tosanoumi's head at the tachi-ai, and sure enough, he kept it up
disallowing Toki to pull him down. In short, Tosanoumi didn't take Toki's bait,
which seems to be wearing thin this basho. Elvis stands at a disappointing 0-3
and may want to rethink his strategy a bit. Here's some advice for Toki: try
moving forward from the tachi-ai and use your bulk and fierce tsuppari for a
change. In one of the best--and longest--bouts of the day, Sekiwake Tamanoshima
was defeated by Komusubi Tochinonada. Tamanoshima looked as if he won the
tachi-ai, which caused Tochinonada to attempt a pull down. That maneuver failed
and Tochinonada was lucky not to be pushed out at that point. Tamanoshima did
grab an outer grip, but this allowed Tochinonada to secure his coveted
migi-shitate. Both rikishi spun around and around the ring using their
respective belt grips to try and force out the other, but Tochinonada prevailed
in the end as Tamanoshima looked worn out after nearly thirty seconds of
chikara-zumo. Tamanoshima struggles at 0-3 while Tochinonada jumps out to a
solid 2-1 start.
Shining in the Maegashira ranks at 3-0 are M4
Kotomitsuki, who overpowered a strong Shimotori today; M10 Takanonami, who is
cleaning up on the rank-and-file rikishi as he should; and M12 Asasekiryu, who's
staking an early claim for the Ginosho. I've also liked what I've seen from M5
Kakizoe who stands at 2-1.
On the docket for tomorrow is a huge bout
between Asashoryu and Wakanosato. Normally, I'd say this one is a push, but
after viewing the Yokozuna's speed and precise technique this basho, I see
Asashoryu as coming out on top. Also, Tochiazuma receives another tough test in
Tochinonada. I believe that whoever forces the fight to their style will win:
quick oshi-zumo for Tochiazuma and drawn out yotsu-zumo for
Tochinonada.
Day 1
Comments
What an
enjoyable day of sumo. I'm not sure if it was Fujii Announcer and
Kitanofuji-oyakata in the booth providing their classic commentary, Mainoumi in
the mukojomen seat adding his precise analysis, Naito Announcer handling the
interviews, the familiar dark dirt used to create the Kokugikan's dohyo, or that
old lady with bright purple hair in the third row, but it was good to lay back
on the couch in the middle of the night and watch the day 1 bouts. I felt that
the sumo was top-notch as well with all of the rikishi sticking to their
guns.
I'll begin with not only the most anticipated bout of the day, but
one of the top four most anticipated bouts of the basho in regards to
Tochiazuma's Yokozuna run. The Sumo Association knew what is was doing by
pairing Ozeki Tochiazuma with Komusubi Wakanosato on day one. Getting past one
of the best yotsu-zumo fighters in the sport would be a huge test for the
hopeful Ozeki, and one that he would not pass. You'll remember that Tochiazuma
rarely fought in the yotsu-style during his magnificent run in Kyushu, so today
it was a matter of who was going to determine the pace of the bout. Wakanosato
actually came out with some tsuppari to throw the Ozeki off, but quickly grabbed
a dangerous shitate hold. The Ozeki countered with a firm outer grip with the
right hand, and both rikishi stood at a stalemate in the center of the ring with
Tochiazuma seeming to have the advantage with the uwate. I was waiting for the
Ozeki to attempt a throw, but Wakanosato pressed the action by forcing
Tochiazuma back so strongly that he lost the coveted uwate leaving him
completely vulnerable at ring's edge. Wakanosato easily pushed out Tochiazuma
from there to hand the Ozeki a costly loss. No one wants to start a run at
Yokozuna with a day one loss because it basically forces you to win 13 of your
next 14 bouts, but looking on the bright side, one of Tochiazuma's toughest
opponents is out of the way. If Tochi is going to see success this basho, he has
to dictate the pace of the bout. Getting caught in a yotsu-zumo clash with one
of the best is a mental breakdown. I wonder if he's feeling the pressure
now?
Yokozuna Asashoryu also faced a formidable opponent and one who has
given him trouble in the past in Komusubi Tochinonada. Unlike last basho, the
Yokozuna came hard at the tachi-ai, but instead of going chest to chest with his
larger opponent, he evaded slightly and grabbed a quick right outer grip, which
he used to whirl his opponent around and up against the ring's edge before
forcing him out with the body. Asa's sumo was so fast today that I didn't even
catch his uwate grip until the replay. I had considered his pace a little bit
reckless after watching the bout live, but the replay showed he was in full
control and never in danger. Excellent performance in the ring today, but his
performance outside of the ring may catch up to him over the course of the next
two weeks.
Ozeki Chiyotaikai easily handled M1 Toki today. Taikai's
attack was so swift and strong, Toki had no time to attempt his trademark
pull-down. Nothing more to say here other than it doesn't matter if Chiyotaikai
is out of shape this basho as long as he finishes his opponents off in a matter
of seconds. Fellow Ozeki Kaio also made short work of M1 Hokutoriki. The latter
charged with a few tsuppari to Kaio's face and throat area, but Kaio used his
bulk and strength to stave off his opponent's initial attack before muscling him
down to the dirt with a hard shove. Good start for Kaio; he needs to rack up as
many wins early as possible. Rounding out the Ozeki ranks was Musoyama who
easily defeated Iwakiyama with a throw down move. Iwakiyama's charge was too
low, and Musoyama easily stepped around his opponent and threw him down. Good
start for the Ozeki, but he's too unpredictable to say anything at this
point.
Both Sekiwake were defeated today in two careless performances.
Tosanoumi charged with his head too low as he is prone to do, and it's
especially uncalled for when you do it against M2 Kyokushuzan, who easily backed
up at the tachi-ai dragging Tosanoumi out of the ring and off the dohyo. Big
mental mistake for Tosanoumi in a bout he should win. Our other Sekiwake,
Tamanoshima, pushed M3 Takamisakari back to ring's edge in a flash from the
tachi-ai, but his attack was more bark than bite as the Robocop easily evaded a
the tawara stepping aside to basically let Tamanoshima throw himself out of the
ring with his forward momentum. This was classic Takamisakari where he baits his
opponents before turning the tables at the end. Takamisakari has added a few
more slight routines to his pre-bout ritual to go along with a new, bright blue
mawashi.
One notable performance from the Maegashira ranks was turned in
by the division's only newcomer M10 Kokkai, who hails from the country Georgia
and is the first Caucasian Makuuchi rikishi in history. With his knee heavily
taped, Kokkai unloaded some powerful two-handed thrusts to drive M11 Yotsukasa
out of the ring. At one point, Yotsukasa dodged a thrust that threw Kokkai off
balance, but the Georgian showed excellent balance today in keeping his footing
and continuing his offensive charge. Kokkai's wingspan is amazing, and I see him
using those long arms to keep his opponents from getting in close. Kokkai is
young; he's blessed with a great sumo body; and call me crazy, but I saw flashes
of a young Akebono today in his performance. I'm really high on this guy, and
I've only watched him for one day. Another nice aspect of his sumo is his
attitude. Kokkai patted Yotsukasa on the back in a grateful gesture after the
win, and he also thanked his tsukebito with a tap in the tunnel after the bout.
Here's a guy who's obviously thankful to be in the position he is
in.
Looking ahead to day 2, Tochiazuma should pick up his first win
against Tokitsuumi, and Chiyotaikai faces his nemesis of late, Tamanoshima; but
the most anticipated bout of the day has to be Takamisakari vs. Asashoryu. If
Asa loses tomorrow, he will not yusho.
Hatsu pre-basho report
(revision)
When
I wrote my first pre-basho report, I had found exactly zero reports detailing
the pre-basho keiko, so many of my predictions were a stab in the dark. I'll
stick to most of them, especially in regards to how I think the individual
rikishi will perform this basho, but I need to revise stance on the
yusho.
A slow and out-of-breath performance by Chiyotaikai at the Soken
practice session, where all of the top rikishi perform keiko in front of sumo
dignitaries, officially drops him out of my "favorite" status to take the yusho.
Maybe a repeat performance in Osaka, but not this month. Instead, I see the
yusho coming down to two rikishi: Tochiazuma and Kaio. All reports indicate that
both rikishi are healthy performing well in the keiko ring.
Defending
champ, Tochiazuma, has continued the same strict keiko and exercise regime that
brought him so much success in Kyushu. He made an interesting comment yesterday
where he said, "Thanks to Asashoryu, all of the pre-basho headlines and hype
have been focusing on the Yokozuna, not on me. I feel no pressure and am not
even thinking about promotion to Yokozuna." I'll agree with him that Asashoryu
has made things much easier for Tochiazuma by acting irresponsibly before the
basho, and he may not be feeling any pressure at this point, but I guarantee
that he'll feel it as he stares across the shikirisen at Wakanosato on day 1.
There is no way a rikishi up for promotion to the sport's highest rank can fly
under the radar during the tournament when everyone's focus is on the sumo
itself and not the rikishi's behavior outside of the ring. All it's going to
take is that first loss for Tochiazuma to really feel the pressure.
Now
having said that, I think Tochiazuma is ready for the challenge, and I would
give his chances of taking the yusho at 50-50, but where has he been from March
2002 to Aki 2003? That's the only aspect of his sudden Yokozuna run that bothers
me. I'd hate to see him get the promotion and then fall back into his lazy,
defensive ways. My take is this: Tochiazuma comes up one win short as his fellow
Ozeki Kaio captures the yusho. All reports indicate Kaio is completely healthy
and pain free as he enters the New Year's basho. A Kaio who is completely
healthy physically is the best rikishi in the sport in my opinion. Kaio takes
the yusho with a 13-2 record and begins his own Yokozuna run in March. My
previous sansho predictions stand with Takamisakari taking the Kantosho and
Kyokutenho picking up the Ginosho.
Hatsu basho pre-basho
report
If I could use
one word to describe the upcoming Hatsu basho it would be "unpredictable."
Due in large part to Japan's shutting down for nine straight days over the
recent New Year's holiday, very few reports have been circulating regarding the
individual rikishi and their condition. The headlines that did surface over the
last few weeks focused on two topics: Asashoryu's delinquent behavior outside of
the ring and Akebono's terrorizing his family by entering the K-1 ring and
facing Bob Sapp. And while those two topics are quite compelling, I'll begin
with one of the biggest changes to the sport in recent memory: the abolishment
of the kosho system.
For those unfamiliar with the kosho system, the Sumo
Association would allow an injured rikishi to miss one full tournament and keep
his current place on the banzuke if the injury was sustained during a major
tournament and at least two months were required for the injury to heal
sufficiently. In the last few years, the Association had expressed their concern
over the growing number of rikishi sitting out tournaments due to their kosho
exemption. The numbers over the last few years were absolutely ridiculous with
double-digit numbers of sekitori withdrawing from any given tournament. After
the Association's announcement prior to last year's Kyushu basho that the kosho
system would indeed be abolished, a total of two sekitori withdrew from Kyushu.
Chalk one up for the Sumo Association. As compensation to the rikishi for the
system's abolishment, four new sekitori slots have been added to the
banzuke--two in Makuuchi and two in Juryo. We've fielded several questions since
the release of the latest banzuke asking why are there now 17 Maegashira slots
on the banzuke when before there were only fifteen. The answer is the two new
slots added due to removal of the kosho system and one more vacancy created by
the retirement of Musashimaru. There will now be 42 Makuuchi rikishi and 28
Juryo rikishi per tournament instead of 40 and 26 respectively.
Now onto
the rikishi themselves where I'll begin with Yokozuna Asashoryu, who has once
again dominated headlines with his behavior outside of the ring. Up until now, I
have usually defended the Yokozuna's behavior and been opposed to all of the
criticism directed his way, but over the last few weeks, my mind is changing
fast. The problems began several weeks ago when the former Takasago stable
master, ex-Komusubi Fujinishiki, passed away. Asashoryu was conspicuously absent
from the funeral and was nowhere to be found. It turns out that he had gone back
to Mongolia without informing his stable master or the Sumo Association of his
whereabouts. Upon Asa's return to Japan, he headed straight for the home of the
deceased to pay his belated respects, but that's too little too late. Next,
Asashoryu has been a no-show at his stable's pre-basho practice sessions.
Intense keiko usually begins about two weeks prior to day one of the tournament,
but once again, Takasago-oyakata had no idea of his Yokozuna's whereabouts. Once
Asashoryu resurfaced, he blamed a severe cold for his absence. And finally
Asashoryu was a no-show for the second consecutive time at the tsuna-uchi
ceremony, which is where the rikishi of a Yokozuna's stable and ichimon gather
to create the new belt to be worn by the Yokozuna for the next two basho. The
ceremony is held prior to the three basho held in Tokyo. I have not read any
reports as to why the Yokozuna was absent from the tsuna-uchi ceremony, but
enough is enough. Showing up at the airport with your hair in a ponytail and
giving Kyokushuzan's mage (top-knot) a nice tug during a tournament bout is one
thing, but blatantly disrespecting your elders and understudies is quite
another. Ok, maybe Asashoryu's mother really was sick causing him to go home in
December, and maybe he really did have a cold causing him to skip out on the
first week of practice, but not informing anyone of your whereabouts is
irresponsible and inexcusable. Asashoryu has played by his own rules for some
time now, but if he's going to continue to draw a paycheck from the Japan Sumo
Association, he's going to have to wise up in regards to following Japan's
rules. And the number one rule on the list is respect your elders. If you see an
unusual amount of gray hair in Takasago-oyakata's coif this basho, blame it on
Asashoryu.
Asashoryu finally did resurface on Monday (1/5) at the soken
practice, where the top-ranked rikishi in the Makuuchi division perform keiko in
front of the Yokozuna Deliberation Council and other Association officials. Asa
reportedly went 14-2 against the likes of Takamisakari and Tochinonada and
looked good in the ring, but I don't think he can show up come day 1 with less
than one week of practice under his belt and have an outstanding basho.
Asashoryu has proven that he is the best rikishi in the field the past year, but
the Yokozuna has to be firing on all cylinders mentally and physically to yusho.
His body is too small too just "show up" a week before the festivities and be in
top form. Also, how can he be mentally preparing himself for the basho by not
even showing up at his stable's functions let alone performing any de-geiko
through the Monday before day 1? It's been 16 months since anyone besides
Asashoryu has taken the yusho in Tokyo, but I see the streak ending in January.
Twelve wins falls just short of the yusho.
Ozeki Tochiazuma is fresh off
of an outstanding yusho performance in Kyushu and finds himself the
highest-ranked Ozeki for the first time in his career. You could just see a
hunger in Tochiazuma's belly last basho that was absent for almost two years.
Tochiazuma's style in Kyushu could be summed up as driving hard and up into his
opponents giving them little chance of mounting any offense. Reportedly, he
stuck to these guns at the soken practice faring well against the upper
Maegashira. The Ozeki finds himself himself staring promotion to Yokozuna in the
face this basho. The question now is can he do it? Half of me wants to say
that yes he can as he's easily the hottest rikishi right now and I love his
mental attitude of late regarding his pre-basho keiko; but the other half says
he'll buckle under that same pressure that has caused him to resort to such
poor, defensive sumo in the past. My take is that Tochiazuma is the favorite to
take the yusho, but he will be upset by a fellow Ozeki.
Ozeki Chiyotaikai
has been second best at seemingly every tournament since his last yusho in Osaka
2003. He's been as solid as ever against the sanyaku and hiramaku, but he's
prone to losing streaks against the Ozeki and Yokozuna. The bottom line is if
Chiyotaikai can come away with 3-1 record against fellow Ozeki and Asashoryu,
then the yusho is his. I see Chiyotaikai dominating Tochiazuma in January as he
did in Kyushu; the two rikishi have similar styles, but Chiyotaikai is more
powerful. Chiyotaikai has struggled against Asashoryu of late, but the Yokozuna
is not prepared to neutralize a Chiyotaikai tachi-ai. I'll give Chiyo a loss
against Kaio as Kaio always has Chiyo's number, so that leaves Musoyama. If
Chiyotaikai can beat Musoyama, he wins the yusho. I say he does it and takes the
shihai at the end of fifteen days.
Ozeki Kaio is coming off of a solid
performance in Kyushu. No, he wasn't in the yusho race the last few days, but
his performance with a sore tailbone was admirable. I would lean towards Kaio
this basho, but I just haven't heard a single report about his health. If Kaio
is completely healthy, look out; but if he inherits some of that tape that
seemed to drape his ex-stablemate Sentoryu's body, then it's another 10-5
basho.
Ozeki Musoyama has the luxury this basho of being kadoban free.
That's a plus, but his lack of keiko prior to the tournaments is what keeps him
one step behind the other Ozeki. This guys has the tools, but lacks the fire. I
don't see anything that would make him a factor down the stretch. Nine wins for
the Ozeki? Why not?
I was extremely pleased to see Tamanoshima sitting in
the Sekiwake slot with the new banzuke. Do I think he's a perennial Sekiwake?
No, but it's nice to see him rewarded for his best basho ever last November. I'm
going to group Sekiwake Tamanoshima, Sekiwake Tosanoumi, Komusubi Tochinonada,
M1 Toki, M2 Iwakiyama, M3 Takamisakari, and M3 Kyokutenho in the same group.
None of these guys can kachi-koshi while ranked in the sanyaku, but each seems
to have terrific tournaments ranked in the upper-Maegashira. You can take it to
the bank that Tosanoumi, Tamanoshima, and Tochinonada will struggle while Toki,
Takamisakari, and Kyokutenho will shine. There's nothing more to say until one
of these guys can stick in the sanyaku for consecutive basho.
A notch
above this group and a step behind the Ozeki is Komusubi Wakanosato. If Komusubi
sounds strange next to his name, never fear; he'll be back at Sekiwake in Osaka.
Wakanosato is too good to have two bad basho in a row. I see him winning at
least eleven this time around and restoring talk of another Ozeki
run.
Hokutoriki enjoys his highest rank ever at M1. This middleweight
version of Chiyotaikai is probably over ranked here. I just don't see how he can
pull out eight wins after facing Asashoryu, four Ozeki, the four sanyaku
members, and the stacked upper-Maegashira. Same goes for M2 Kyokushuzan. I won't
put it past the Mongolian to somehow sneak out eight wins, but it's highly
unlikely. I will say this for Kyokushuzan, his sumo content has improved that
last few basho, but he's still to retreat-happy to get much praise from
me.
Tokitsuumi is right where he belongs at M4. His compatriot,
Kotomitsuki, would normally be under ranked at M4, but his sumo as of late has
been below average. Kakizoe and Kasuganishiki are two exciting young rikishi at
M5. Kakizoe showed serious stones in Kyushu pulling out eight wins after
injuring his knee prior to the basho and fighting with a leg brace that puts
Dejima's bandages to shame.
Speaking of Dejima, he's ranked low enough at
M6 to pull out double-digit wins easily. Fellow M6 Takekaze will be tested this
high up the ranks in his sophomore basho. Miyabiyama should be ashamed to be
ranked at M7 with his body, and what in the hell is Takanonami doing at M10? His
compatriot at M10 is the only rookie in the division, Kokkai, who hails from the
country Georgia in Eastern Europe. Kokkai comes into January with loads of hype
as he just cleaned up the Juryo division in Kyushu going 14-1, but a serious
knee injury in late December may put a damper on his debut. Nonetheless,
standing at M10 after less than three years in the sport is no small
feat.
Kotonowaka at M13 should dominate the bottom feeders as he did in
Kyushu before getting injured and withdrawing. His compatriot, Takanowaka, was
sitting in the Sekiwake slot a year ago and just can't seem to get any momentum
going after a knee injury. M15 Kaiho finds himself back in the Makuuchi division
after a few basho in Juryo, and coming in at M17 (yes, you read that rank
correctly) is Hayateumi, who has Musashimaru's retirement to thank for his first
tournament in Makuuchi in 18 months.
My shaky predictions for the 2004
Hatsu basho are as follows:
Yusho: Chiyotaikai at
13-2
Shukunsho: none
Kantosho: Takamisakari
10-5
Ginosho: Kyokutenho 10-5
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